BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Northern Illinois
Class: 1A Class Rank: 86 Overall: (7-6) Overall Strength = 137.83
Conference: Mid-American Conference Record: (4-4) | District: 1A-01 Record: (6-6)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/31/2024 Home W 144.86 54 15 1B 69 ( 4- 8) Western Illinois 6.50 * 20.27 32.50
2 09/07/2024 Away W * 176.63 16 14 1A 2 (14- 1) Notre Dame 38.26 -21.14 -36.26
3 09/21/2024 Home L * * 127.08 20 23 1A 102 ( 9- 4) Buffalo -11.29 11.69 8.29
4 09/28/2024 Away L * 136.30 17 24 1A 75 ( 6- 7) North Carolina St -2.07 18.19 -4.93
5 10/05/2024 Home W * 133.88 34 20 1A 127 ( 2-10) Massachusetts -4.49 26.07 18.49
6 10/12/2024 Away W * * 150.74 17 7 1A 76 ( 7- 6) Bowling Green 12.37 -6.50 -2.37
7 10/19/2024 Home L * * 128.89 6 13 1A 83 ( 8- 5) Toledo -9.48 0.87 2.48
8 10/26/2024 Away L * * 123.00 23 25 1A 126 ( 3- 9) Ball St -15.37 15.25 13.37
9 11/06/2024 Away W * * 147.05 42 28 1A 101 ( 6- 7) Western Michigan 8.68 1.40 5.32
10 11/13/2024 Home W * * 136.26 29 16 1A 123 ( 4- 8) Akron -2.11 21.64 15.11
11 11/19/2024 Away L * * 132.43 9 20 1A 73 ( 9- 5) Miami OH -5.93 -3.54 -5.07
12 11/30/2024 Home W * * 131.62 24 16 1A 122 ( 4- 8) Central Michigan -6.75 16.18 14.75
13 12/23/2024 Neutral L * 130.06 20 28 1A 84 ( 7- 6) Fresno St -8.31 0.60 0.31
Averages 138.37 23.9 19.2
Best game: 176.63 = 2 point win over Notre Dame
Worst game: 123.00 = 2 point loss to Ball St
Team stdev: 14.04